EVAN 2022 CONFERENCE
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PROGRAM

PDF version of program – download here: EVAN2022_Program.pdf
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Oral presentations: Each speaker has a 15-minute time slot including Q&A. Please prepare a 12-minute presentation so that we have a few minutes for discussions afterwards.
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Poster presentations: Our poster boards are 30 x 40 inch (76.2 x 101.6 cm) and can be used in landscape or portrait format. Please keep this in mind when preparing your posters.

Day 1: Tuesday, 17th May 2022 ​

08:00 – 09:00 ​
Registration
09:00 – 09:30 
Opening remarks 
09:30 – 10:15 ​​
Keynote Lecture: Multi-Hazard Assessments – Moving Beyond Disciplinary Divides.
Dr. Michelle (Shelby) Bensi, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Maryland, USA 
10:15 – 10:45 ​​
Coffee break 
10:45 – 12:15 ​​
Session 1: Applications, Chair: Ivan Haigh ​
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Talk 1: Julie Carreau - A spatially adaptative multi-resolution generative algorithm: application for urban flood risk assessment
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Talk 2: Sara Santamaria-Aguilar - Uncertainties in regional coastal flood assessments associated with the variability of hydrographs of extreme events

Talk 3: Katherine Serafin - Flood risk transfer as a consequence of climate change and infrastructure modifications along the San Francisquito Creek, California

Talk 4: Amrit Shankar Verma - A probabilistic rainfall model to combat leading-edge erosion of wind turbine blades

Talk 5: 
Hal Needham - Recent Innovations for Data-Driven Flood Risk Analysis: A Case Study from Biloxi, Mississippi, USA.
12:15 – 13:15 ​
Lunch break ​
13:15 – 14:45 ​
Session 2: Meteorological/Climatological, Chair: Katherine Serafin ​
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Talk 6: Ivan Haigh - Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region

Talk 7: Holli N. Capps Herron - Spatial and Temporal Variability in the Characteristics of Extreme Daily Rainfalls in Ghana

Talk 8: Katherine Towey - Tropical cyclone storm surge probabilities for the east coast of the United States: A cyclone-based perspective

Talk 9: Benjamin Shaby - Projecting Flood-Inducing Precipitation with a Bayesian Analogue Model


Talk 10: Brian Blanton - Extreme sea levels from a 41-yr coastal reanalysis for the US East and Gulf of Mexico coasts
14:45 – 15:15 
Coffee break 
15:15 – 16:45 
Session 3: Non-stationarity, Chair: Yasser Hamdi ​
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Talk 11: Marco A. Öttl - Probabilistic design of river levees under consideration of time-dependent load structures

Talk 12: Callum Barltrop - A novel framework for capturing non-stationarity in extremal dependence structures

Talk 13: Yasser Hamdi - A non-stationary bivariate analysis of significant wave height and storm surge extremes in the English Channel, integrating teleconnection patterns and climate change

Talk 14: Mitchell Krock - Nonstationary seasonal model for daily mean temperature distribution bridging bulk and tails

Talk 15: 
Jens Bender: A linear-circular model to determine sub-annual flood probabilities 

Talk 16: James Stagge - Non-stationary standardized precipitation indices (NSPI) revisited: zero handling and bias correction
16:45 – 18:15 
Poster Session 1 and welcome reception  ​

Day 2: Wednesday, 18th May 2022 ​

09:00 – 09:45 ​
Keynote Lecture: Evaluation of Binary Classifiers for Environmental Extremes.
Dr. Philippe Naveau, Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de l'environnement (LSCE), France 
09:45 – 10:45 
Session 4: Coastal 1, Chair: Marta Marcos​
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Talk 17: Mercè Casas-Prat - Analysis of extreme sea levels around the Canadian coastlines – the effect of temporal inhomogeneities

Talk 18: Stefan Talke - Duration of Coastal Flooding and its link to Tidal Properties

Talk 19: Whitney K. Huang - A Combined Physical-Statistical Approach for Estimating Storm Surge Risk

Talk 20: Alejandra Enriquez - Predictable changes in extreme storm tides and coastal flood risk due to nodal and perigean cycles
10:45 – 11:15 ​​
Coffee break 
11:15 – 12:45 ​​
Session 5: Coastal 2, Chair: Alejandra Rodriguez Enriquez ​
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Talk 21: Paula Camus - Spatial footprints of extreme storm surge events around the coastline of the UK

Talk 22: Elisa Ragno - Flooding in Venice: investigating extreme water level and its components

Talk 23: Steven Meyers - Extreme Vessels Meet Extreme Values, Creating Hazards Near the Coast

Talk 24: Eleanor D’Arcy - Extreme Sea Level Estimation: Accounting for Seasonality and Long-Term Changes

Talk 25: James Booth - Cyclone Tracks, Atmospheric Blocking, and Storm Surge Extremes for the North America Eastern Seaboard

Talk 26: 
Soenke Dangendorf: Contributions of individual sea-level budget components to High Tide Flooding along U.S. coastlines
12:45 – 13:45 ​
Lunch break ​
13:45 – 15:15 ​
Session 6: Coastal 3, Chair: Stefan Talke​
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Talk 27: Laurie Saint Criq - Analysis of extreme skew surges combining systematic skew surges and historical water levels

Talk 28: Marta Marcos - Coastal extreme sea levels from the new GESLA-3 tide gauge data set

Talk 29: Alexa Latapy - Reconstruction of the historic sea level observations at Saint-Malo/Saint-Servan (French Brittany coast): changes of extreme coastal water levels since the 19th century

Talk 30: Tim Toomey - Extreme sea levels and wind-waves in the Mediterranean Sea since 1950

Talk 31: Philip Orton - Benefits and challenges of separating tropical and non-tropical cyclone data in assessing extremes

Talk 32: Michael Getachew Tadesse - Global Storm Surge Reconstructions (GSSR): Changepoint Detection and Trend Analysis
15:45  
Round Table (Chair: Yasser Hamdi) - “Non-stationarity in Extreme Value Analysis
15:15 – 16:30 ​
Coffee break and Posters Session 2 ​​
19:00
Gala Dinner ​

Day 3: Thursday, 19th May 2022 ​

09:00 – 10:30 ​
Session 7: Methods 1, Chair: Gabriele Villarini​
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Talk 33: Jordan Richards - Extreme quantile regression for high-dimensional spatio-temporal applications using partially interpretable neural networks

Talk 34: Yasser Hamdi - Comparison of statistical and integrated statistical/physical modeling approaches for extreme storm surge estimation

Talk 35: Zina Souaissi - Probability Distributions of river water temperature in Switzerland

Talk 36: Robert Andrew Jane - Can an event-based approach provide robust estimates of extreme water levels along the transition zone of the Suwannee River, Florida?
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Talk 37: Joao Morim - Understanding uncertainty associated with global extreme wave events using a contemporary ensemble of reanalysis and hindcast products
10:30 – 11:00 
Coffee break ​
11:00 – 12:30 ​​
Session 8: Methods 2, Chair: Elisa Ragno ​
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Talk 38: Javier Tausia - Machine learning for coastal extreme storm surge predictions in New Zealand

Talk 39: David Métivier - Interpretable hidden Markov model for stochastic weather generation and climate change analysis


Talk 40: Miguel Agulles - Extreme sea level events in the western Mediterranean: analysis of the main contributions based on high frequency tide gauge records

Talk 41: Stan Tendijck - Modelling multivariate temporal extremes for the design of offshore facilities

Talk 42: Caroline Huguenin - Assessing the drivers of extreme dry spells across the Tempisque-Bebedero River Basin, Costa Rica

Talk 43:
Imen TURKI - On the use of climate teleconnections for investigating the non-stationary dynamics of extreme significant wave height and storm surges
12:30 – 13:30 ​​
Lunch break ​
13:30 – 15:00 ​
Session 9: Compound events, Chair: Philip Orton​
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Talk 44: David Lucio - Compound nearshore extreme events under climate change: A long-term analysis

Talk 45: Carlos Lopez Solano - Coupling numerical modeling and joint extreme analysis of wave height and storm surge for calculating coastal hazards along the shoreline of Normandy (France)

Talk 46: Masahiko Haraguchi - Estimating Return Intervals for Extreme Climate Conditions Related to Winter Disasters and Livestock Mortality in Mongolia

Talk 47: Javed Ali - Assessing Compound Impacts of Natural Hazards in Miami-Dade County, Florida

Talk 48: Ahmed Nasr - Changes in Dependence between Compound Coastal and Inland Flooding Drivers around the Contiguous United States Coastline

Talk 49: Francisco Peña - The importance of multivariate statistical analysis to simulate compound flood hazards in North Miami
15:00 – 15:30 ​
Coffee break
15:30 – 16:30 
Session 10: Methods 3, Chair: Philippe Naveau​

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Talk 50: Lee Fawcett - The accuracy of, and sensitivity to, tests for asymptotic dependence in spatial extreme rainfall models

Talk 51: Jürgen Jensen - Recent floods in Central Europe in July 2021: A new challenge for extreme value analyses!

Talk 52: Laura Cagigal - TESLA 2.0: Climate-Based Emulator of Met-Ocean Parameters for Extra-Tropical and Tropical Cyclone Climates

Talk 53: Charlotte Love - Multivariate statistical methods for spatially compound extremes
16:30 – 16:45 
Closing remarks ​

Poster Sessions 1 and 2
(All posters to be presented at both sessions.)

  1. Qazi Muhammad Yasir: Identification of Potential Sites for a Multi-Purpose Dam Using a Dam Suitability Stream Model
  2. Lidia Andre: Jointly Modelling the Body and Tail of Multivariate Data
  3. Conor Murphy: Spatio-temporal threshold selection for induced seismicity​
  4. Harald Schellander: A new methodology for the spatial estimation of snow load extremes
  5. Nathalie Giloy: The impact of tidal predictions on historical extreme skew surges
  6. Robert Andrew Jane: A catchment-scale assessment of the potential for compound river discharge - storm surge events
  7. Gabrielle P. Quadrado: Spatial and temporal distribution of extreme total water levels drivers along the Atlantic margin of the Southeastern United States​
  8. Denis Moiriat: Probabilistic assessment for liquefaction potential of a flood-protection levee​
  9. Yan Ding: Extreme Shoreline Erosion Analysis Using Monte Carlo Simulations
  10. Youssouph Cissokho: Estimation of cluster functionals for regularly varying time series: sliding blocks estimators
  11. Mubbasher Munir: Global Impact on Human Obesity using Shrinkage Models Through Machine Learning Algorithms​
  12. Md Mamunur Rashid: Global investigation of hydrologic risks from consecutive events of dry and wet extremes
  13. Gloria Buriticá: Stable sums for inference of high return levels of multivariate rainfall time series
  14. Whitney K. Huang: Estimating concurrent climate extremes: A conditional approach
  15. Samantha Timmers: Identifying spatially variable compounding flood drivers along coastal rivers using observed and simulated data
  16. Yasir Abduljaleel: Evaluation of LID practices for sustainable stormwater management under different climate change scenarios​
  17. Gabriele Villarini: On the generation of high-resolution design events capturing the joint occurrence of rainfall and storm surge in coastal basins​​
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